Showing posts with label Forecast. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Forecast. Show all posts

Friday, January 15, 2010

MSM: Applying The Michael Mann Hockey Stick In Federal Politics

The unbiased objective media have been busy in pursuit of a negative or sexy news scandal story to boost their ratings. After the Bubble Boy, Tiger Woods stories have dried up they have now decided to pick a series of Polls in Sept 2009  to link the "Prorogue" by highlighting two or three Polls taken from January 1-14, 2009.

Are the Media jumping to conclusions?
Looking at the polls, it would be tempting to conclude that the so-called chattering class has scored a rare point against Conservative spin doctors. But the more likely explanation is that, as in the case of the arts cuts in Quebec, the Conservatives are losing the prorogation debate on their preferred field of populism.- Chantal Herbert 

What's really happened as a result of the public at last expressing itself is that Harper, neatly and adroitly, has just prorogued himself.- Actually, Parliament does matter



A proliferation of reporting techniques and partisan views should occur in the decades to come as the number of national news organizations increase. Fox News already attempts to differentiate its product from the perceived liberal media bias. At least some of the new organizations should find it profitable to cater to conservative viewers. CAN THE MEDIA BE SO LIBERAL?


Michael Mann ran into some criticism when he chose to select specific tree ring data and exclude other, did the MSM follow the same example in discussing the recent Polls? You be the judge. (This video was brilliant)




Prorogue-gate 2010 MSM lead political story ( Two weeks heavy rotation)

We have had the MSM produce a large number of television shows and print articles depicting the present minority government as despotic and dictatorial for delaying a return to parliament by seventeen sitting days. The MSM has widely reported it as Parliament is "shutdown" for 2-4 months.

Pick the biggest Gap in 2009
The 14-15 point lead was a high water mark that only took lasted for approximately one month only after the Liberals threatened an election and their leader asked voters to examine his leadership and his party.

Democracy in Action -Ignore  
In 2009 we had four By-elections in which Canadians participated by sending two more CPC MP's to Parliament. The CPC captured 50% of the seats, one went to the NDP and the last to the Bloc. The Liberal Party of Canada were shut out (0-4) they failed to make ANY vote gains in three of the four contests. In the one riding they improved their results: It can be concluded to the fact they did not run a candidate last time (Dion-May deal).


CanadaNewsDesk Polls - You can configure to include All Posters - Great Site.







Is the MSM decision to use the largest spread and the recent Polls as an affirmation of their power, influence in shaping public opinion? You decide

I wrote about the Forrest Gump of Politics and ignoring the Real Numbers.




Parliament will meet on March 3, 2010.

Thursday, October 22, 2009

Canadians Confidence in Economy, Net worth, Government Growing

National Economy Turning the Corner for Half of Canadians

Federal Liberals are denying the recovery by using selective information

Amateur Hour Extended: Most Basic Facts Wrong

Strange but true Don Martin thinks the Liberals had a good week pushing a fake scandal.

Since late June, positive views on the economy have increased by 12 points, while negative assessments have declined by 11 points.

Canadians are now four times more likely to believe that the stock market will be higher a month from now (26%) than to think it will be lower (6%).

Also, more than a third of respondents (36%) expect the Canadian economy to improve in the next three months, while less than one-in-ten (8%) foresee a decline.

A majority of Canadians (56%) rate their own personal finances as "good" or "very good" (56%), but two-in-five (40%) deem them "bad" or "very bad."

The Recession

Since the summer, Canadians have become less dramatic when assessing the current recession. While half of respondents (53%) describe the current slowdown as the worst recession in twenty years, the proportion has declined by 10 points in three months. In fact, 30 per cent of respondents—up eight points since July—now rate the current state of affairs as a "minor recession."

However, the proportion of respondents who believe Canada will get out of recession in 2011 increased this month to 52 per cent, up 10 points since July.


The Government

Almost half of Canadians (49%) believe the actions of governments across Canada will help the economy recover slowly, while 18 per cent—down six points since July—think their actions will make no difference to the economy.


It is natural for the sitting Government to benefit from the bad times as it is logical for them to take the heat for the bad times. The critics and naysayers who have been talking down the recovery, ignoring all the good news are losing support amongst Canadians. The Liberals, NDP, Bloc appear to be more interested in taking cheap shots than in helping the government move forward.



The [federal Liberals] draw conclusions based on the analysis that they’ve done,” deputy premier George Smitherman countered Thursday outside Queen’s Park.
www.citytv.com/toronto/citynews/news/national/article/61240--toronto-mp-claims-harper-government-favours-tory-ridings-smitherman-disagree

Why are a few MSM chasing the Liberal's latest faux scandal or feuling the "invisible" outrage?

"I think the Prime Minister understands that this is not going over well with Canadians." (Bob Fife, Power Play, October 21, 2009)  Does Bob Fife has a special Poll taken in Narnia, Liberals are consistently below 30% for over four weeks since declaring an election threat.

"Now we are seeing more and more information, more and more statistics that say... if you're a Conservative voter, you're much more likely to be benefiting from the government's $61 billion stimulus effort." (James Travers, Power Play, October 21, 2009)

Without a thorough or complete review of 100% of the $ 61 billion, some suggest you can make a case for favouritism. That is simply inconsistent and borders on delusional.

A  review of the $ 61 billion requires a detailed and thorough analysis. Highlighting a specific riding or project worth $ 100 million predicts absolutely NOTHING and is a perfect example why the invisible outrage and crying wolf from the opposition will result in other representative of Provincial, municipal gov't to step up to discredit this latest smear.  I did not understand why any government would benefit from delaying release of information until this latest stunt. Opposition are being selective and trying desperately to manipulate data by being selective in what they bring forward in review of spending.




STEADY AS SHE GOES

www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/steady-as-she-goes/article1328780/

The country's prospects are actually brighter than they were in the summer. China's economy is growing faster than the Bank of Canada thought it would, lifting global growth and boosting commodity prices. Canada's labour and housing markets also continue to surprise analysts with their resilience.

Ignatieff gets his facts wrong in Arar case

www.thestar.com/news/canada/article/714019--ignatieff-gets-his-facts-wrong-in-arar-case

UBC law professor Michael Byers said while public figures sometimes make mistakes, Ignatieff's statement was related to his own position on torture, "a matter on which he wrote extensively while a Harvard professor, with those writings having since been subject to intense scrutiny."
"For him to get the facts wrong on the highest profile case of torture involving a Canadian citizen is deeply worrying.
"It suggests a certain lack of attention to detail, and perhaps even concern, on a matter that was engaging the Canadian public, a commission of inquiry, and courts in both Canada and the United States at the very same time that he was expressing opinions on torture in The New York Times."