Showing posts with label Harmonized Sales Tax. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Harmonized Sales Tax. Show all posts

Friday, October 15, 2010

A tale of three Liberals

The public decide when your time is up. The public decide when your rhetoric is past its due date. The media wishes to quantify this "throw the bums out" as anger. That is too simplistic.
The public are much smarter than the pundits in smelling BS and they understand what is not working and who is accountable.
The media cheerleaders on the wrong side of the debate are finding out through poor ratings: we don't accept your fairytale. Report the news or fade away, the choice is yours.
United States -Obama
Obama’s approval rating fell to a new low of 43 percent since he took office, down from 47 percent last month, according to a Reuters-Ipsos national poll.
Ipsos pollsters say it appears that much of that drop comes from Democrats whose approval of Obama fell to 70 percent from 78 percent last month.
Among likely voters, 48 percent said they will choose Republican candidates in the midterm elections, while 44 percent say they will vote for a Democrat. That gap narrowed in the full survey sample, with 44 percent saying they would vote for the Republican candidate vs. 43 percent for the Democrat.
Sixty-three percent said the country is on the wrong track, which was the highest since Obama took office. Sixty-five percent said creating jobs is what Congress should focus on in 2011, and most said the best indicator of economic recovery is a drop in the unemployment rate.
The economy topped the list of the most important problem facing the United States, while respondents did not mention the Iraq war. -Winds of Change
Obama has time to save his job, he does not have the capacity to save the Democrats in the Senate, Congress. Does he have time to balance the books and get voters behind his economic policies?
Ontario - McGuinty
Three out of four Ontarians believe it’s “time for a change” at Queen’s Park because of the unpopular 13 per cent harmonized sales tax and lingering economic fears, a new poll suggests.
The Toronto Star-Angus Reid survey indicates Premier Dalton McGuinty’s Liberals, who mark their seventh anniversary in power on Saturday, face major challenges as they head toward the Oct. 6, 2011 election.
With 76 per cent of respondents saying they would like to see another party in power and 71 per cent warning the province “is on the wrong track,” the poll signals change may be on the horizon.
The global recession might officially be over, but the new HST and rising hydro bills have left 86 per cent of Ontarians claiming “it is harder now than it was two years ago to make ends meet.”
What won’t be debated, except perhaps in hushed tones over free drinks at the hospitality suites Friday night, is who will succeed Premier Dalton McGuinty as Liberal leader.“The folks around McGuinty will be trying to stamp this (talk) out as quickly as they can because they don’t want to undermine him or even question his standing at the head of the party,” confided one Liberal insider - Liberals quietly ponder McGuinty's replacement
Dalton is beginning to unwind and halt some of the decisions in order to limit the damage to his party and his leadership. Will it be enough time? Does he have the fiscal room to fix it and balance the books?
Best PM 2007- 2010 -Nik Nanos
 
Opposition Leader -Ignatieff
The Polls illustrated above/below for six months ( May-September 2010) a trend Conservative 5-8%  average lead normally. Every summer the "race" is reported as tightening up. The Liberals can't break and hold 30%. You need 37% to win a minority parliament. The majority of Canadians think the economy has improved and going in the right direction. Their frustration is directed at Provincial and local officials who have been increasing taxes. Property taxes, hydro, cost of transportation.

On leadership Prime Minister Stephen Harper is a force of nature. The Federal Government was given a pass on the massive Economic Stimulus as necessary.
May 2010- Oct 14 2010 All Polls CanadaNewsDesk
Ignatieff is not connecting with the average Canadian regardless of another road trip or plaid shirt wardrobe change.

The Liberals need money to buy advertising to convince Canadians they are not the party of props, tax and spend. They don't have it from the latest figures.

"This is Canada, not Australia," Ignatieff said. "That means Canada has principles, the Charter of Rights and Freedoms, our international obligations."-Ignatieff 
In 1969 Pierre Trudeau mused MPs were nobodies 100 feet from Parliament Hill. The  official opposition's refusal to represent their constituents has reduced the Trudeau musing by another 50 feet.
The PM Satisfaction score is up six per cent from September and twelve per cent from January  2010. The PM outpaces the Premier by seven per cent. Conservatives beat the Liberals by two per cent on support from the Francophone. The Conservative beat the Bloc by nine points around Quebec City. 
Why are the Federal Liberals SILENT on criticizing the high taxes, high hydro rates being charged by the municipal and provincial government? Did the compassionate Liberals miss the fact the same paper that ran his photo op reported the loss of twenty seven jobs and the closing of the production from the dairy on May 20, 2010?
Of the $7.2-billion three-month deficit, nearly half -$3 billion -was attributed to tax reductions, increased employment insurance benefits and infrastructure spending.- Recovery continues in spite of political stunts by opposition.
 
September 2008 Nik Nanos Poll on Leadership found both Ignatieff and Layton slid. The PM has moved up 4.1% to 83.3%. Ignatieff is in third place behind Jack Layton.
I am particularly appalled at the Liberal announcement that they would cancel this contract at the first opportunity. As a former Sea King squadron commander earlier in my career, I know only too well the consequences of such political games.
Lt.-Gen. (Ret.) Angus Watt is former chief of the air staff (2007-09)
Canadians don't see him as PM material. They don't trust Michael Ignatieff, his numbers reflect it in almost every poll. His efforts to date are not seen as a credible alternative. Voters are tuning out National politics because of the relentless negative attacks from the media and opposition. His party has not used this minority parliament to enact ANY legislation that would help the economy. He just abandoned his forty five day Employment Insurance Plan and left many of his MPs holding the bag. What is the message when half of the party vote for a 35% increase in employment insurance rates and you deem as no longer necessary?
Off all of the three Liberals, Ignatieff is in the most vulnerable position without the ability to control the timing of the election, party discipline or have access to a war chest to match the Conservatives. 
Obama and McGuinty both have campaign experience and a successful track record in fundraising.
What do you think?
 
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Saturday, July 24, 2010

Breaking Wind In Denmark

The EU is one of the leading global regions in...Image via Wikipedia
Governments in Western democracies make changes to the level of taxation, elimination or addition of new policies to reflect the political landscape. In countries that do NOT have open elections based in democratic roots, the taxation, elimination of services or new restrictions are not debated in the media or society without peril. 

In Ontario we have recently seen the decision by the Ontario government to back peddle on a new eco-fee that does not make sense.

In British Columbia a large number of citizens have been actively engaged in having the provincial government to stop the implementation of the H.S.T.

Denmark generates the equivalent of about 19% of its electricity demand with wind turbines, but wind power contributes far less than 19% of the Nation’s electricity demand.

The claim that Denmark derives about 20% of its electricity from wind overstates matters. Being highly intermittent, wind power has recently (2006) met as little as 5% of Denmark’s annual electricity consumption with an average over the last five years of 9.7%.

In the absence of large-scale electricity storage, any modern electricity system must continuously balance electricity supply and demand, because even small variations in system voltage and frequency can cause damage to modern electronic equipment and other electrical equipment.

Wind power is stochastic,especially in the very short term (e.g., over any given hour, 30 minute, or 15 minute period). This has created a completely new challenge that transmission system operators (TSOs) all over the World are only now learning how to handle. Some draw from Denmark’s experience. But Denmark’s special circumstances make its experience of limited transferability elsewhere.


Denmark manages to keep the electricity systems balanced due to having the benefit of its particular neighbors and their electricity mix. Norway and Sweden provide Denmark, Germany and Netherlands access to significant amounts of fast, short term balancing reserve, via interconnectors. They effectively act as Denmark’s “electricity storage batteries”. Norwegian and Swedish hydropower can be rapidly turned up and down, and Norway’s lakes effectively “store” some portion of Danish wind power.

Over the last eight years West Denmark has exported (couldn’t use), on average, 57% of the wind power it generated and East Denmark an average of 45%.The correlation between high wind output and net outflows makes the case that there is a large component of wind energy in the outflow indisputable.

The exported wind power, paid for by Danish householders, brings material benefits in the form of cheap electricity and delayed investment in new generation equipment for consumers in Sweden and Norway but nothing for Danish consumers. Taxes and charges on electricity for Danish household consumers make their electricity by far the most expensive in the European Union (EU)1. The total probable value of exported subsidies between 2001 and 2008 was DKK 6.8 billion (€916 million) during this period. A similar amount was probably exported prior to 20122 and larger quantities will be exported following the commissioning of 800 MW of new offshore wind capacity in 2013.

The wind power that is exported from Denmark saves neither fossil fuel consumption nor CO2 emissions in Denmark, where it is all paid for. By necessity, wind power exported to Norway and Sweden supplants largely carbon neutral electricity in the Nordic countries. No coal is used nor are there power-related CO2 emissions in Sweden and Norway.


Critical Analysis or Rebuttal to above here

Recently, a study made by the Danish think tank CEPOS claimed the opposite, i.e. that most of the Danish wind power has been exported in recent years. However, this claim is based on an incorrect interpretation of statistics and a lack of understanding of how the international electricity markets operate. Consequently, the results of the CEPOS study are in general not correct. Moreover, the CEPOS study claims that using wind turbines in Denmark is a very expensive way of reducing CO2 emissions and that this is the reason for the high energy taxes for private consumers in Denmark. These claims are also misleading. The cost of CO2 reduction by use of wind power in the period 2004-2008 was only 20 EUR/ton. Furthermore, the Danish wind turbines are not paid for by energy taxes.
Danish wind turbines are given a subsidy via the electricity price which is paid by the electricity consumers. In the recent years of 2004-2008, such subsidy has increased consumer prices by 0.54 €¢/kWh on average. On the other hand, however, the same electricity consumers also benefitted from the wind turbines since the wind power decreased the electricity market price on Nord Pool. On average during 2004-2008, such effect decreased the consumer prices by 0.27 €¢/kWh and consequently the net influence during this period increased consumer prices by only 0.27 €¢/kWh equal to only 1-3 percent of the final consumer prices. In 2008, the net influence of wind power actually decreased the consumer price slightly by approx. 0.05 €¢/kWh. Consequently, the influence of Danish wind turbines on the consumer electricity price is negligible.


Two sides having a debate about the effectiveness of the cost of windmills. In a Western democracy we have citizens, groups being engaged. In other countries like China, North Korea, Iran, Saudi Arabia the media or its citizens are not free to engage in criticism without peril.

Are the changes to reduce the carbon footprint in Canada going to be based on facts of a business model that makes sense, or it is going to be uses as political football for stakeholders that benefit from taxpayer subsidies?

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