Monday, August 23, 2010

The Left Are Funny: Denialism

Jane Taber's article about ignoring the demands of Quebec from an opinion from a pollster. A few in the left are freaking out, with graphs and projections trying to explain how the Conservatives should not ignore the fact only 45% (approximately) of the seats in Quebec are voting for a federal party since 1993.  The term low hanging fruit requires an understanding of common sense something lacking in most unskeptical minds. I originally blogged here on re-balancing Parliament.
Ignore the polls, ignore the census and ignore Quebec. Nothing will change the Harper government’s minority status until legislation passes creating more seats in the House of Commons, Ipsos pollster John Wright says.

The left are scared
If a majority is IMPOSSIBLE, why all the FUSS? The Separtists threatening , making noise, passing motions in Quebec City to the effect?   We will be quoting Hamlet  Act 3, scene II, Verses 222-230 if those in the left keep telling us it is a mistake to ignore Quebec.

The unskeptical mind will without reservation accept the proselytizing  of self acclaimed experts (Al Gore, David Suzuki, here without examining if a bias exists in their presentations if it projects their belief system.

The Blue Pill: Reality

An Act to amend the Constitution Act, 1867 (Democratic representation)
The Minister of State (Democratic Reform), The Hon. Steven John Fletcher 

Bill C-12 is designed to address a distortion in the manner in which population growth is reflected by growth in the number of elected representatives assigned to each province. The Bill seeks to remedy this distortion by enacting a new formula for seat readjustments in the House of Commons. As with the formula presently employed to readjust the number of members seated in the House, Bill C-12 prescribes a formula that readjusts seats after each decennial census, while also apportioning any newly created seats to the province or provinces that experienced population growth from one decennial census to the next- Summary here.

Social Justice Champions?
 Reality sucks for those in the left who have a difficult time accepting the shift has begun in Canada , Europe, Australia and even China.
See any bicycles?
The Pierre Trudeau Liberal ideals have been transformed to a more pragmatic worldview. The world has changed and for some in the media, Quebec and left of centre parties reality has been very discomforting lately.

We have Mother Nature to thank for the expression low hanging fruit. A fruit-bearing tree often contains some branches low enough for animals and humans to reach without much effort. The fruit contained on these lower branches may be not be as ripe or attractive as the fruit on higher limbs, but it is usually more abundant and easier to harvest. From this we get the popular expression "low hanging fruit", which generally means selecting the easiest targets with the least amount of effort.

Another use of the expression low hanging fruit can be found in the political arena. A politician may set a number of easily attainable goals, essentially low hanging fruit, and accomplish them with minimal effort. The voters may perceive the politician's actions as proof of his strong work ethic, but in reality he only reached for the political benefits of low hanging fruit. Critics often use the expression low hanging fruit to describe someone who chooses a sure thing over a more difficult but more rewarding pursuit.
The idea of low hanging fruit can be viewed as both a positive and a negative. On the one hand, low hanging fruit is usually plentiful and often ignored by those looking for more attractive offerings. But low hanging fruit can also be seen as a negative, since the picker understands how low the quality of the fruit can be and picks it anyway. Someone who consistently chooses the immediate gratification of low hanging fruit could be seen by others as lazy or unambitious.

Pundits Guide

House seats bill could affect 19 Tory, 10 Grit ridings, and one NDP riding

Pundits Guide
According to Statistics Canada's census metropolitan areas, in Ontario, the Toronto CMA (which includes 23 cities in the surrounding areas such as Milton, Oakville, Mississauga, Brampton, Newmarket, Markham and Richmond Hill in addition to Toronto proper) has grown from 4,682,897 people in the last decennial census in 2001 to 5,623,500 in 2009, which is a 20 per cent increase.
Pundits Guide
According to Elections Canada, Liberal MP Andrew Kania currently has the highest populated riding in Brampton West, Ont., with 170,422 people. This is compared to Conservative MP Greg Rickford who has the least number of constituents in his Kenora, Ont., riding with 64,291 people. Kenora is a rural riding, but even in the nation's capital, Liberal MP Mauril Bélanger, who represents Ottawa-Vanier, Ont., has 101,611 constituents. 
Pundits Guide
If population were the number one criterion for the electoral boundary commissions, Ontario could see new ridings created around Mr. Kania's riding, as well as in other GTA ridings Markham, Vaughan, Bramalea, Halton, Mississauga, Whitby, Thornhill, Brampton, Scarborough, Willowdale, Cambridge and Kitchener, as well as two ridings in the Ottawa area. 
The top 18 most populated ridings in Ontario are held evenly between Conservatives and Liberals at nine each.
Pundits Guide
In Alberta, Edmonton and Calgary are the fastest growing cities. In 2001, Calgary had a population of 878,866, according to Statistics Canada, and in 2009, it grew to 1,230,200, a 39.9 per cent increase. Edmonton went from a population of 666,104 in 2001 to 1,155,400 in 2009, a 73.45 per cent increase. Conservative MP Chris Warkentin's Peace River riding is the most populated in Alberta with 138,009 constituents, and NDP MP Linda Duncan's Edmonton-Strathcona riding is the least populated at 99,267. 
Pundits Guide
The four other highest populated ridings in Alberta are Rob Anders' Calgary West, Diane Ablonczy's Calgary-Nose Hill, Devinder Shory's Calgary Northeast and Public Works Minister Rona Ambrose's Edmonton-Spruce Grove. These could all be areas where potential new ridings could be created.
Pundits Guide
In British Columbia, Vancouver's CMA grew from 1,986,965 in 2001 to 2,328,000 in 2009, a 17.1 per cent growth. The Vancouver CMA includes surrounding areas such as Langley, Mission, Coquitlam, Maple Ridge, Richmond and Surrey among other smaller towns. 
Pundits Guide
 Conservative MP John Weston has the most populated riding in B.C. His West Vancouver-Sunshine Coast-Sea to Sky Country riding has 129,241 constituents, compared to Conservative MP Jim Abbott's Kootenay-Columbia riding with 86,811 constituents.
Pundits Guide
The seven ridings that could be changed based on population are NDP MP Jean Crowder, who represents Nanaimo-Cowichan, Conservative MPs Edward Fast (Abbotsford, B.C.), Nina Grewal (Fleetwood-Port Kells, B.C.), Andrew Saxton (North Vancouver, B.C.) and Ronald Cannan (Kelowna-Lake Country, B.C.) and Liberal MP Hedy Fry (Vancouver Centre, B.C.). 
Pundits Guide
None of these charts are projections prediction about the future, they are a FACT of what already has transpired. No one can predict how the seats will ultimately breakdown or if the legislation will PASS.
A great philosopher Bobby McFerrin used to say Don't worry be happy!
I prefer to look to Doris Day for her sophistry about life.
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